Analisis Value at Risk (VaR) dalam mengukur risiko pasar pada instrumen keuangan

Authors

  • Marsha Aura Aspasya Program Studi Perbankan Syariah, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang

Keywords:

Value at risk, market risk, risk management, financial instruments, measuring instrument

Abstract

Market risk is one of the primary risks in investment activities arising from fluctuations in the prices of financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, and exchange rates. This uncertainty requires an accurate risk measurement method to support decision-making processes. This study aims to analyze the use of Value at Risk (VaR) as a tool for measuring market risk in financial instruments. The method used in this study is a literature review by examining various relevant national and international journals related to market risk measurement using VaR. The results show that VaR is capable of estimating the maximum potential loss within a certain period at a given confidence level, and it can be applied through historical, variance-covariance, and Monte Carlo simulation methods. However, VaR has limitations in capturing extreme risks (tail risk), therefore it needs to be combined with other methods such as Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) to improve the accuracy of risk measurement.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Anita, P. S., & Riris, P. A. (2021). Risiko Pasar Saham Perbankan Syariah dengan Metode Standar Deviasi Markowitz dan Value At Risk (Var). Jurnal Manajemen, 12(1), 113. https://doi.org/10.32832/jm-uika.v12i1.4046

Dunakh, F. T. R. S., & Budianto, E. W. H. (2025). Pengaruh kinerja keuangan terhadap fluktuasi harga saham bank umum syariah di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Akuntansi (JIMEKA), 10(1), 342–353. https://repository.uin-malang.ac.id/26585/

Fauzi, M. (2025). Faktor penentu keberhasilan risiko dalam operasional bisnis. Maliki Interdisciplinary Journal (MIJ) eISSN, 3, 1652–1659.

Julaihah, U., & Insukindro, I. (2004). Analisis dampak kebijakan moneter terhadap variabel makroekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 1983.1-2003.2. Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 7(2), 323–341. https://repository.uin-malang.ac.id/20639/

Khalisma, M. (2024). Pengukuran Value at Risk ( VaR ) Menggunakan Metode Historical Simulation dan Metode Variance dengan Pendekatan Single Index Model. (October), 1–11.

Kharisma, P. P., Irawanto, D. W., & Rofiq, A. (2017). Value-at-Risk Analysis in Risk Measurement and Formation of Optimal Portfolio in Banking Share. Jurnal Bisnis, 11(2), 268 halaman.

Linsmeier, T. J., & Pearson, N. D. (2000). Value at risk. Financial Analysts Journal, 56(2), 47–67.

Mustafian, M., Mauliddin, M., & Abdal, A. M. (2024). Penerapan Value-at-Risk dan Conditional-Value- at-Risk Dalam Pengukuran Risiko Portofolio Optimal Menggunakan Pendekatan Simulasi Monte Carlo. Jurnal Riset Dan Aplikasi Matematika (JRAM), 8(1), 39–50. https://doi.org/10.26740/jram.v8n1.p39-50

Oktaviana, U. K., Supriyanto, A. S., & Wahyuni, N. (2025). Modal intelektual dalam akuntansi keberlanjutan bank Islam: Relevankah? Jurnal Akuntansi Multiparadigma, 15(3), 549–560. https://repository.uin-malang.ac.id/24824/

Rost, B. (2009). Basel committee on banking supervision. Handbook of Transnational Economic Governance Regimes, 319–328. https://doi.org/10.1163/ej.9789004163300.i-1081.238

Shaar, R., Kato, H., & Hikmat, R. F. (2025). Predicting Value at Risk in Investment Portfolio Using Monte Carlo Simulation: The Case of The Syrian Internasional Islamic Bank. El-Jizya : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam, 13(1), 115–134. https://doi.org/10.24090/ej.v13i1.13803

Trimono, T., Fahrudin, T. M., & Ardiani, A. E. (2025). Prediction Of Loss Risk Investment on The Idx Indonesia: Quantitative Approach with Var and Adj-Es. 22(1), 45–57. https://doi.org/10.14710/jsmo.v22i1.73062

Wahid, A. J., Riaman, R., & Sukono, S. (2025). A Systematic Literature Review on Mean-CVaR Based Financial Asset Portfolio Weight Allocation Using K-Means Clustering. CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni Dan Aplikasi, 10(2), 1069–1091. https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v10i2.36590

Published

2026-07-10

How to Cite

Aspasya, M. A. (2026). Analisis Value at Risk (VaR) dalam mengukur risiko pasar pada instrumen keuangan. Maliki Interdisciplinary Journal, 4(11), 521–529. Retrieved from https://urj.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/mij/article/view/32813

Issue

Section

Articles